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Tag: Dr. Christine Blackburn

LEAP LEADs and Pandemic Planning

Following several meetings with guest speakers such as Commissioner Bill Daugette and (virtual) Rep. Senfronia Thompson as part of our LEAP LEADs program, our educational odyssey continued with additional training and guest speakers.

Tonight, in our fifth meeting, we began with an introduction from Ms. Fors, who provided us with tips on email etiquette and how to create an email signature block. We were reminded to (1) keep emails short unless length is absolutely necessary, (2) to use a subject heading that is accurate and telling, (3) and to ensure that the email employs good grammar and correct spelling.

SHSU, LEAP Center, Center for Law Engagement And Politics, LEAP LEADS

After Ms. Fors’ extremely instructive discussion, we moved on to watch the Texas Tribune Festival’s discussion with Peter Hotez, the dean at the National School of Tropical Medicine at Baylor College of Medicine and an expert in vaccine development.

SHSU, LEAP Center, Center for Law Engagement And Politics, LEAP LEADs, Peter Hotez, COVID-19

As optimistic as we all were about the current COVID-19 situation, watching this talk with Hotez certainly put a damper on our hopes about the virus. Hotez shared that “vaccines may not be introduced until spring 2021” and that we are likely to have a third surge in COVID-19 cases–and that it could be even worse than before. Though this discussion wasn’t filled with the best of news, it most definitely provided us with new information to keep in mind as we continue to navigate through this new COVID lifestyle that we may begin to call “normal” pretty soon.

SHSU, LEAP Center, Center for Law Engagement And Politics, LEAP LEADs, Peter Hotez, COVID-19

The highlight of our night was a Q&A with Dr. Christine Blackburn, the Assistant Research Scientist, lecturer, and Deputy Director of the Pandemic and Biosecurity and Policy Program at the Scowcroft Institute of International Affairs.

SHSU, LEAP Center, Center for Law Engagement And Politics, Dr. Christine Blackburn, COVID-19

During this Q&A the eight LEAP LEADs’ students were able to engage in an interactive conversation with Dr. Blackburn on her career, her advice to young people and the substantive aspects of the Coronavirus–which was very educational.

SHSU, LEAP Center, Center for Law Engagement And Politics, Dr. Christine Blackburn, COVID-19

We learned, for example, the 3-4 phases a vaccine must go through to become approved.

We, apparently, are nearing phase three trials, which means tightly controlled experiments on humans should begin.

SHSU, LEAP Center, Center for Law Engagement And Politics, Dr. Christine Blackburn, COVID-19

One of the interesting things about Dr. Blackburn is her educational background. She has an “individual interdisciplinary Ph.D.” in “Political Science, Communications, and Veterinary Science.” The idea is that, as the world becomes more specialized and silo-like, people with interdisciplinary degrees can cut across multiple domains. She persisted in this degree despite others telling her, “No one is going to hire someone with that combination of degrees.” But, of course, the ability to cut across domains is exactly what is needed in a pandemic because it affects supply chains, economics, food and, of course, health–all the while being entangled with politics.

SHSU, LEAP Center, Center for Law Engagement And Politics, Dr. Christine Blackburn, COVID-19

In conclusion, we asked Dr. Blackburn what her goals were and what she hopes to accomplish. She prefaced her response by saying it was a “cliche,” but that she went into her field just “hoping to make the world a better place.” And for a group of students who signed up for LEAP LEADs, in part, to make the world a better place, it was a validating answer.

SHSU, LEAP Center, Center for Law Engagement And Politics, Dr. Christine Blackburn, COVID-19

Finally, our eventful night ended by us getting our dinner from Farmhouse Café and talking amongst ourselves about how interesting and inspiring our talk with Dr. Blackburn was. Though it was only our fifth meeting of the semester I am excited to continue to learn and grow along side other individuals who are eager to do the same.  

Author mikeyawnPosted on October 3, 2020Format AsideCategories Civic Engagement, Food, Health, PoliticsTags Center for Law Engagement And Politics, COVID-19. Dr. Peter Hotez, Dr. Christine Blackburn, LEAP Center, SHSULeave a comment on LEAP LEADs and Pandemic Planning

Talking COVID with Dr. Blackburn: July 2020

The Scowcroft Institute at Texas A&M has been offering regular COVID updates for viewers, and this month’s update, with Dr. Christine Blackburn, featured medical officials from Brownsville, Texas, where the Coronavirus has been particularly destructive.

 SHSU, LEAP Center, Center for Law Engagement And Politics, Texas A&M Bush School, Scowcroft Institute, Dr. Christine Blackburn, Dr. Art Rodriguez, Michelle Jones, Brownsville TX     

Blackburn’s guests were Michelle Jones, an epidemiologist, and Dr. Art Rodriguez.  Both live and work in the Brownsville area.\

SHSU, LEAP Center, Center for Law Engagement And Politics, Texas A&M Bush School, Scowcroft Institute, Dr. Christine Blackburn, Dr. Art Rodriguez, Michelle Jones, Brownsville TX

Dr. Blackburn, who is the Assistant Director for the Scowcroft Institute’s Pandemic and Biosecurity Policy Program, led off with updates.  In the US, we have approximately 3.3 million cases and 136,000 deaths.  In Texas, we have about 274,000 cases and 3,300 deaths.

Following her updates, Dr. Blackburn turned it over Dr. Rodgriguez and Michelle Jones.  In Brownsville, Dr. Rodriguez noted, the area is showing a surge in case positivity, with 30 percent of the tests coming back positive.  Moreover, the hospital capacity in Brownsville is 400 beds, and right now, the hospitals are at 95 percent, with ICU and ER beds being beyond capacity.

SHSU, LEAP Center, Center for Law Engagement And Politics, Texas A&M Bush School, Scowcroft Institute, Dr. Christine Blackburn, Dr. Art Rodriguez, Michelle Jones, Brownsville TX

Ms. Jones added that, one of the confounding variables in Brownsville is that there is much foot traffic between the City and Mexico, making collaboration with Mexican officials important.

SHSU, LEAP Center, Center for Law Engagement And Politics, Texas A&M Bush School, Scowcroft Institute, Dr. Christine Blackburn, Dr. Art Rodriguez, Michelle Jones, Brownsville TX

Both Rodriguez and Jones highlighted some of the steps Brownsville has taken to combat the issue.  The City of 185,000 people, has unveiled a five-level threat matrix, which offers suggestions at each stage on how to mitigate the threat; they are taking steps to double their daily testing capacity, which should be complete by next week; and they are working with the local college to lead sanitation classes, which will help educate the public on mitigation and containment strategies.

Dr. Blackburn then took questions, some of which were political, a sensitive area, especially if the questions involve your employer.  “How will Texas A&M bring back in-person classes without a spike in cases?”  This is, Dr. Blackburn noted, “a significant challenge,” which will be “very, very, very difficult.”  

And: “Why doesn’t Brazos County Office of Emergency Management report the percent of positive cases in their testing and their contact tracing more quickly?”  This is a “labor intensive process,” and Brazos County Health Department is “doing all they can, and working very hard to respond” to the community’s needs.

These questions were fielded with a smile, perhaps an acknowledgement of the difficulty of answering such questions.

SHSU, LEAP Center, Center for Law Engagement And Politics, Texas A&M Bush School, Scowcroft Institute, Dr. Christine Blackburn, Dr. Art Rodriguez, Michelle Jones, Brownsville TX

One question, which is on many minds, is the question of immunity.  How long will it last?  Dr. Blackburne noted that no one knows that yet.  Preliminary reports indicate that antibodies may not long linger in the body, limiting the amount of immunity they will provide.  But she believes that t-cells might be a fruitful research direction, noting that even if “immunity can last a year, the public could get seasonal vaccines.”

But the discussion was also sobering, with all three panelists seeing this is a long-term issue.  It’s not clear that we will return to normal in the foreseeable future, and the panelists suggested we should prepare for “hills and valleys.”  The key, Dr. Blackburne noted, is coming up with strategies that can effectively mitigate the spread and impact of COVID but “which can also be sustained.”  

Given the level of noncompliance with existing strategies (social distancing, masks), it’s not clear that sustainable and effective strategies exist for our current level of knowledge about the virus.

Many thanks to the Scowcroft Institute, Dr. Blackburn, Dr. Rodriguez, and Ms. Jones for their very informative presentation.  The program can be seen in its entirety here.

SHSU, LEAP Center, Center for Law Engagement And Politics, Texas A&M Bush School, Scowcroft Institute, Dr. Christine Blackburn, Dr. Art Rodriguez, Michelle Jones, Brownsville TX

 

 

Author mikeyawnPosted on July 15, 2020July 15, 2020Format AsideCategories Civic Engagement, Health, PoliticsTags Brownsville TX, Center for Law Engagement And Politics, Dr. Art Rodriguez, Dr. Christine Blackburn, LEAP Center, Michelle Jones, Scowcroft Institute, SHSU, Texas A&M Bush SchoolLeave a comment on Talking COVID with Dr. Blackburn: July 2020

COVID, Health, and the Economy

If it’s Monday, it must be time for Dr. Christine Blackburn’s update on COVID-19, and, today she had Dr. Raymond Robertson, Chair in Economics and Government in the Department of International Affairs at the Bush School of Government and Public Service and the Director of the Mosbacher Institute for Trade, Economics, and Public Policy.

SHSU, LEAP Center, Center for Law Engagement And Politics, TAMU Bush School of Government and Public Service, Scowcroft Institute, Dr. Christine Blackburn, Dr. Raymond Robertson

Dr. Blackburn began by highlighting a trend noted by doctors: young people–those not typically in mortal danger from COVID-19–are developing blood clots while afflicted by the virus.  In many cases, the virus is what would be considered a light case, so victims might not go to the doctor’s or hospital, but making such a trip, if for no other reason than to ask about a blood thinner, might be warranted.

SHSU, LEAP Center, Center for Law Engagement And Politics, TAMU Bush School of Government and Public Service, Scowcroft Institute, Dr. Christine Blackburn, Dr. Raymond Robertson

Dr Robertson discussed the economic impact of COVID-19, noting that an unprecedented number of people have filed for unemployment over the past month.  While he observed that this is, in and of itself, sufficiently bad, he explored ways that it could get worse.  Globally, all economies are being hit by this pandemic, but the US is struggling in particular, and its struggles could ramify throughout the world: by buying fewer products–most of which are produced elsewhere–the contraction of the US economy leads to shrinkage elsewhere.  In addition, it’s possible that some of the job losses could be permanent.

SHSU, LEAP Center, Center for Law Engagement And Politics, TAMU Bush School of Government and Public Service, Scowcroft Institute, Dr. Christine Blackburn, Dr. Raymond Robertson

On the plus side, Robertson said that the number of unemployment claims has declined for the past three weeks, and, if businesses can re-open in the next few weeks, it’s likely that many of those jobs will not be permanently lost.

The duo also took questions.  For Dr. Blackburn, the question was asked, will serology tests allow people to return to work in large companies (such as TAMU)?  Dr. Blackburn responded cautiously, noting: (1) it will take a lot of tests to test all the people who need to be tested in such a scenario; (2) there are concerns about such tests and their false positives–which means the test says you have had COVID, but you actually haven’t; and (3) the medical community has not established definitively that having had COVID leads to immunity.  She added that with similar viruses, the immunity has only lasted for a matter of months, not permanently.

Dr. Robertson was asked a particularly tough question: how much is a life valued in economic terms?  That is, how much of a “hit” should we take on the economy to save lives?  Interestingly, he said that the EPA actually has such a number: 10,000,000 dollars.  He further pointed out that when you compare the number of lives lost thus far (56,000) to the amount of money we’ve spent to try to repair the economy (2 trillion), it comes out to about 53 million per person–or, about 5 times the amount the government typically uses as a “value” on human life.

He did point out that such a calculation is cold comfort if the person lost is close to you, and he highlighted the importance of this discussion and weighing these competing values.

It was, as usual, an informative Monday with the Bush School!

SHSU, LEAP Center, Center for Law Engagement And Politics, TAMU Bush School of Government and Public Service, Scowcroft Institute, Dr. Christine Blackburn, Dr. Raymond Robertson

Author mikeyawnPosted on April 27, 2020Format AsideCategories Civic Engagement, PoliticsTags Center for Law Engagement And Politics, Dr. Christine Blackburn, Dr. Raymond Robertson, LEAP Center, Scowcroft Institute, SHSU, TAMU Bush School of Government and Public ServiceLeave a comment on COVID, Health, and the Economy

Weekly COVID Update with Dr. Christine Blackburne

by Makayla Mason,

Dr. Christine Blackburne, the Assistant Director of the Scowcroft Institute’s Pandemic and Biosecurity Policy Program at the Bush School of Government Affairs and Public Service (whew!), conducts a weekly update on the COVID-19 virus, and those have proved informative to the LEAP Ambassadors, so we continue to tune in.

SHSU, LEAP Center, LEAP Ambassadors, LEAP Students, Center for Law Engagement And Politics, Texas A&M Bush School, Scowcroft Institute of International Affairs, Dr. Christine Blackburn

This week, she began the video with discussing masks, stating that masks are more designed to keep those who are infected from spreading it than protecting those who do not have it from becoming infected. She explained a few basic rules for using masks such as:

  • Masks need to be properly fitted.
  • When taking masks off, do not touch your mouth area, and immediately wash your hands.
  • Do NOT put masks on children under 2, anyone with breathing problems, or individuals who cannot remove the mask themselves.

Some people have been frustrated or confused by the changing policy on masks.  Originally, only infected people were encouraged to wear masks.  Now, everyone is encouraged to wear a mask.  Why the change?  Originally, the medical community had no idea there were so many asymptomatic carriers, and we wanted to ensure that sufficient masks existed for health care providers.  Now we know that it’s very possible that 50 percent (or more) of the infected could be carriers without even knowing it, it’s important that as many as people as possible wear masks.SHSU, LEAP Center, LEAP Ambassadors, LEAP Students, Center for Law Engagement And Politics, Texas A&M Bush School, Scowcroft Institute of International Affairs, Dr. Christine Blackburn

She then moved into answering the questions.

The first question asked if there were predictive models about the economic impact, if there are approaches for bringing people back to work, and if there are ways to “pandemic proof” the economy?  The problem, she noted, is that without accurate information, we cannot make good comparisons of life and economics, and it will be difficult to get this information before 3-4 months of data.

Some people have called for allowing greater mobility, letting people catch it (especially if so many people are asymptomatic), and developing herd immunity.  She points out, though, that we don’t know with accuracy what the reproductive number is (R nought).  Some estimates have been in the 6 range, and this would mean that 82 percent of the people would need to be infected before herd immunity took effect.

SHSU, LEAP Center, LEAP Ambassadors, LEAP Students, Center for Law Engagement And Politics, Texas A&M Bush School, Scowcroft Institute of International Affairs, Dr. Christine Blackburn

The next question asked if the social distancing measures are just extending the curve, when do we decide to go to “Plan B,” and when do we decide it is not containable? Dr. Blackburne’s response was that social distancing measures do expand the amount of time, but this allows for medical resources to stay under capacity. If we “flatten the curve,” this will keep the number of people coming into the hospital under the capacity, and hospitals will not have to decide who lives and who dies due to lack of resources. If each wave can be kept under capacity, lives are being saved because the medical field can work. She believes that we are currently working “Plan B” and that if we start re-opening now, there will be a lot of unnecessary deaths. She thinks we are in a mitigation phase and no longer able to contain, but able to mitigate the impact caused.

The third question asked if there is proof that someone can develop antibodies and not get infected? Dr. Blackburne said yes, but with 14% of people testing positive a second time, it is unclear if they are being re-infected, or if it went dormant (it’s also possible they had a false positive and were never really infected).

SHSU, LEAP Center, LEAP Ambassadors, LEAP Students, Center for Law Engagement And Politics, Texas A&M Bush School, Scowcroft Institute of International Affairs, Dr. Christine Blackburn

There were a few questions about Texas specifically. Dr. Blackburne thinks Texas will play a big role in developing a vaccine. In regard to Texas’ peak, there are two different models, University of Washington and University of Texas at Austin, that show different peaks, both occurring before June.

Although, many scientists believe there will be a second wave in the fall…

 

Author mikeyawnPosted on April 22, 2020April 22, 2020Format AsideCategories Civic Engagement, PoliticsTags Center for Law Engagement And Politics, Dr. Christine Blackburn, LEAP Ambassadors, LEAP Center, LEAP Students, Scowcroft Institute of International Affairs, SHSU, Texas A&M Bush SchoolLeave a comment on Weekly COVID Update with Dr. Christine Blackburne

Facts and Speculation: Experts in Biosecurity Discuss COVID-19

by Quinn Kobrin

Another organization that has aided LEAP’s efforts to stay active during this time of uncertainty and isolationism is the Scowcroft Institute of International Affairs at the Bush School of Government and Public Service.

Tuesday evening, a handful of ambassadors logged onto Zoom yet again to hear the latest updates on COVID-19, and an overview of the anticipated strategy to combat the virus. The information was presented by the Institute’s Pandemic and Biosecurity Policy team, which was represented by Dr. Gerald Parker and Dr. Christina Crudo Blackburn, with the Institute’s director, Professor Andrew Natsios, moderating.

SHSU, LEAP Center, Center for Law Engagement And Politics, Bush School of Public Affairs, Scowcroft Institute, Dr. Christine Blackburn, Dr. Gerald Parker, Ambassador Andrew Natsios

The discussion began with a recap of what is already known about the virus, including that COVID-19 can cause acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS), and that it can impact people of all ages.

We also got a more in-depth understanding of the factors that put people at risk. As it was explained, hypertension was a factor in 75% of COVID-19 related deaths in Rome. Diabetes can lead to an increase in ARDS, and is responsible for 40% of deaths in Louisiana. Smoking and vaping were also noted as a potentially complicating factor, but no conclusive evidence can support this yet.

I was particularly interested to learn about the different types of tests that are currently being utilized or developed. The first test discussed was the real-time polymerase chain reaction test (RT-PCR), which can allow individuals to find out within a number of hours whether or not they are currently infected. Unfortunately, it does not indicate whether or not they have been exposed to the virus, and potentially carrying it. This is where the serological test becomes beneficial: by testing for antibodies that would indicate exposure, people can better determine whether or not they should self-quarantine.

SHSU, LEAP Center, Center for Law Engagement And Politics, Bush School of Public Affairs, Scowcroft Institute, Dr. Christine Blackburn, Dr. Gerald Parker, Ambassador Andrew Natsios

Dr. Parker proceeded to explain his understanding of the National Strategy to combat the virus. According to his analysis, we are currently on Phase 2 of 5, which consists of mitigating the spread and severity of COVID-19, as well as negative economic impacts, maintaining critical operations, and providing support, logistics, and equipment to states.

SHSU, LEAP Center, Center for Law Engagement And Politics, Bush School of Public Affairs, Scowcroft Institute, Dr. Christine Blackburn, Dr. Gerald Parker, Ambassador Andrew Natsios

Going forward, we were informed that the United States still has not reached a peak in the amount of cases or fatalities, and that the best tool to continue to mitigate the spread remains to be social distancing. We do not yet have a vaccine or antibiotics, so the best solution currently is to avoid contracting and spreading the virus.

SHSU, LEAP Center, Center for Law Engagement And Politics, Bush School of Public Affairs, Scowcroft Institute, Dr. Christine Blackburn, Dr. Gerald Parker, Ambassador Andrew Natsios

We were then informed about the steps Texas A&M is taking to help out. Many departments are coordinating with each other to allow for all resources to be available. Some of these include establishing an emergency advisory group that focuses on policy, emergency response, and logistics, and having faculty in the Department of Engineering 3D print ventilators.

During the Q&A, there was a difference of opinions on how the government has handled addressing the virus. Dr. Parker believed that response has been phenomenal on all levels, while Professor Natsios believes the government has been sending mixed messages from various levels, confusing communities and individuals.

The session ended with a PowerPoint slide reminding us all to “BTHO” Coronavirus. We appreciate the Bush School and the Scowcroft Institute for giving us the chance to learn more background about the virus, and what is being done to find a solution.

Author mikeyawnPosted on April 10, 2020April 10, 2020Format AsideCategories Civic Engagement, PoliticsTags Ambassador Andrew Natsios, Bush School of Public Affairs, Center for Law Engagement And Politics, Dr. Christine Blackburn, Dr. Gerald Parker, LEAP Center, Scowcroft Institute, SHSULeave a comment on Facts and Speculation: Experts in Biosecurity Discuss COVID-19

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